See value in the under/over goal market

There is one market in football betting that isn’t as popular as it should be, and it’s hard to see why because the under/over goal market often holds great value!

So what is the under/over goal market? This market is basically asking you to bet whether you think there will be over or under X amount of goals in a match. There are two outcomes, under X amount of goals or over X amount of goals. The most common market selection is the under/over 2.5 goal market. How can there be 0.5 of a goal I hear you ask?…well you are right, there can’t. The 0.5 is so that you can bet on 2 or less in the under market or 3 plus on the over market. So betting on under 2.5 goals means that you are betting on there to be 0, 1 or 2 goals in the match.

So what makes this a good bet? First off lets compare it to basic head to head betting of teams where you say one team or the other will win or if it will be a draw. This bet has 3 outcomes, so there is more chance that you will lose your bet. The under/over market only has 2 outcomes there so there is more chance of guessing the correct outcome. In addition to this, when a big team plays a small team the odds will be very low for the big team, so this bet will have little value. In the under/over market you can usually find better odds of between 1.5 or 2.5.

Another great advantage of the under/over market is that it doesn’t matter which team scores. You are just guessing whether there will be more or less than X goals in the match, so if the other team scores or starts winning it has less of an effect than some more specific bets where you may have bet on the scoreline or for one particular team to win. This makes the under/over market great for neutral fans.

The under/over goal market is also very easy to predict using statistics. To work out whether to bet on the under or over market, add up all the goals scored by each team over the season and then average the numbers and add them together.

So for example: Team X have scored 55 goals so far this season in 25 games and team Y have scored 65. So averaging each of those stats gives 2.2 and 2.6 goals per game respectively. Adding these together gives: 4.8. If you were betting on the under/over 2.5 goal market it would be a good idea to bet on over 2.5 goals in this game between team X and team Y. Of course other factors do play a part, but this technique gives you an easy way to use statistics to your advantage.

The under/over goals market is one of our favourites. Give it a try and see why we love it so much!